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Welcome to the Feb. 14 mail bag! No valentines, sorry – but plenty of health care news.
Also, in honor of the day, I adopt the royal “we.”
Dear U.S. Departments of Justice and Health & Human Services:
Thank you for informing us that, for the last three years, every $1 spent to fight health care fraud and abuse resulted in $7.90 being returned to the government. Those are sweet numbers, and it doesn’t surprise us that they represent the highest three-year average return on investment in the 16-year history of the program.
However, as investors, we’re a bit concerned by the simplicity of those numbers. We have reason to believe, for instance, that some of those enforcement actions necessitated additional provider paperwork, which always means money and doesn’t necessarily do anything at all to improve patient care. Those costs don’t show up on your balance sheet, but they do figure in the Overall Cost and Quality of U.S. Health Care, a concern in which we have invested heavily.
We’re not saying what you’re doing isn’t necessary, or even that you haven’t correctly calibrated the cost-benefit analysis for this stepped-up enforcement; we don’t have nearly enough details to make that call.
We’re just saying we doubt the true equation is as clear-cut as 1 to 7.9 and, well, we worry about systems becoming increasingly complex. We understand that it’s sometimes unavoidable, and sometimes even positive, but generally we’ve found increasing complexity to equal decreasing transparency and efficiency, which tend in turn to equal increasing cost and frustration. (See: Tax code.)
Thank you for listening to our rant.
Dear nonprofit hospitals:
There are a lot of you around here.
We saw that Moody’s Investor’s Service recently gave you a negative outlook for the sixth consecutive year – and also that it noted expectations of positive but decreasing revenue growth.
We’ll be watching.
Dear for-profit hospitals:
There are three of you around here, but you’re siblings.
This is interesting.
So is this.
We’ll be watching.
Your list of innovation models is a little daunting – but we like maps and are interested to see that there are a handful of local participants in the various models.
Dear Dr. Watson:
So you’re a sextuplet supercomputer and you’re designed to find a single, correct answer to complex medical questions quickly, eh?
We want to turn you loose on the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act.